China's Economic Update: Retail Sales and Industrial Production Show Signs of Weakness

Saturday, 14 September 2024, 02:05

China's economic activity is softening as retail sales and industrial production figures falter. The country's domestic consumption weakened in August, raising concerns about the outlook for the economy. Financial institutions are adjusting forecasts amid sluggish demand and declining property investment.
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China's Economic Update: Retail Sales and Industrial Production Show Signs of Weakness

China's Economic Activity Shows Signs of Weakness

China's economic landscape is becoming challenging as domestic consumption continues to soften in August.

Retail Sales and Industrial Production

Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics reveals that retail sales, a critical gauge of consumption, only increased by 2.1 percent year-on-year last month, falling short of the 2.68 percent expected by analysts.

  • Real estate and industrial activity are contributing to this slowdown.
  • Property investment has slumped by 10.2 percent in the first eight months of the year.
  • Overall fixed-asset investment rose by 3.4 percent, slightly below the previous month's pace.

Adjusted Economic Forecasts

Due to the dip in domestic demand, many financial institutions have revised their growth projections for China:

  1. UBS lowered its forecast to 4.6 percent.
  2. Nomura Securities predicted 4.5 percent growth.
  3. Bank of America adjusted its estimate to 4.8 percent.

Government Response and Future Outlook

In light of deteriorating consumption, several cities have begun offering increased subsidies to stimulate spending. For instance:

  • Beijing enhanced its subsidy for replacing consumer goods from 10 percent to 15-20 percent.
  • Shanghai allocated 4 billion yuan for expanding consumer product coverage.

The National Bureau of Statistics indicated an ongoing stability in economic performance despite challenges, emphasizing efforts to counter external pressures and bolster recovery.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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