PBOC Manages Yuan Stability Amid Donald Trump's Trade Policies

Tuesday, 21 January 2025, 04:44

PBOC's actions and Donald Trump's inaugural address impact the yuan's stability. The currency remains stable as market concerns about trade war ease, with analysts optimistic about its future.
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PBOC Manages Yuan Stability Amid Donald Trump's Trade Policies

PBOC and Yuan Stability Post Trump's Address

The Chinese yuan experienced a notable surge following US President Donald Trump's softer tone towards China during his inaugural address. Analysts forecast that the currency will maintain a largely stable position in the near term.

Market Reactions and Economic Insights

The offshore yuan climbed from above 7.31 to below 7.27 against the US dollar, closing at around 7.269. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) consequently set its midpoint rate at 7.1703, marking the strongest level since early November.

  • Zhang Zhiwei, Chief Economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, noted that Trump's omission of tariff discussions probably eased market worries regarding the trade war.
  • Despite a notable shift in sentiment, uncertainties linger about upcoming US policy signals concerning tariffs.
  • In the wake of Trump's inauguration, the US dollar's strength from anticipated Federal Reserve actions has pressured the yuan.

Future Prospects for the Yuan

Looking ahead, analysts like Gary Ng from Natixis caution that the easing of fears may be temporary if the US government enacts stronger tariff measures against China.

  1. The yuan's resilience amidst dollar strength is attributed to the PBOC's efforts in maintaining currency stability.
  2. Lynn Song, Chief Economist at ING Bank, highlighted that the yuan has performed solidly compared to other currencies.

The PBOC's proactive policies, including maintaining key loan prime rates and defending against the yuan's depreciation, indicate a strong commitment to currency management. The governor, Pan Gongsheng, reiterated their strategy to prevent excessive fluctuations going forward.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.

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